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Pack EV: which box should you open?

Each row is a set with community-documented pull rates. EV = what a pack returns on average, computed from the latest Cardmarket EUR prices. Return compares that EV with the pack's MSRP — above 100% the pack 'pays for itself' (spoiler: almost never).

# Set Era Pack MSRP
01 151 Full breakdown → SV €11.56 €4.49 257% €104.03 (9)
02 Crown Zenith Full breakdown → SWSH €10.05 €4.99 201% €100.51 (10)
03 Evolving Skies Full breakdown → SWSH €6.39 €4.29 149% €230.11 (36)
04 Destined Rivals Full breakdown → SV €5.48 €4.49 122% €197.33 (36)
05 Surging Sparks Full breakdown → SV €5.01 €4.49 112% €180.26 (36)
06 Sword & Shield Full breakdown → SWSH €4.63 €4.29 108% €166.54 (36)
07 Shining Fates Full breakdown → SWSH €4.84 €4.99 97% €48.36 (10)
08 Vivid Voltage Full breakdown → SWSH €4.12 €4.29 96% €148.31 (36)
09 Paldean Fates Full breakdown → SV €4.20 €4.49 94% €37.80 (9)
10 Brilliant Stars Full breakdown → SWSH €3.54 €4.29 82% €127.36 (36)
11 Astral Radiance Full breakdown → SWSH €3.38 €4.29 79% €121.55 (36)
12 Temporal Forces Full breakdown → SV €3.51 €4.49 78% €126.45 (36)
13 Silver Tempest Full breakdown → SWSH €3.20 €4.29 75% €115.19 (36)
14 Twilight Masquerade Full breakdown → SV €3.26 €4.49 73% €117.41 (36)
15 Battle Styles Full breakdown → SWSH €3.11 €4.29 72% €111.92 (36)
16 Lost Origin Full breakdown → SWSH €3.09 €4.29 72% €111.25 (36)
17 Paldea Evolved Full breakdown → SV €3.20 €4.49 71% €115.09 (36)
18 Rebel Clash Full breakdown → SWSH €2.86 €4.29 67% €102.95 (36)
19 Prismatic Evolutions Full breakdown → SV €2.95 €4.49 66% €26.57 (9)
20 Journey Together Full breakdown → SV €2.92 €4.49 65% €105.29 (36)
21 Stellar Crown Full breakdown → SV €2.79 €4.49 62% €100.54 (36)
22 Fusion Strike Full breakdown → SWSH €2.64 €4.29 62% €95.04 (36)
23 Darkness Ablaze Full breakdown → SWSH €2.62 €4.29 61% €94.22 (36)
24 Scarlet & Violet Full breakdown → SV €2.46 €4.49 55% €88.44 (36)
25 Chilling Reign Full breakdown → SWSH €2.29 €4.29 53% €82.62 (36)
26 Paradox Rift Full breakdown → SV €2.21 €4.49 49% €79.49 (36)
27 Obsidian Flames Full breakdown → SV €1.88 €4.49 42% €67.60 (36)

Pull rates: community estimates (never official), cited with source and date on each set page. Special sets (151, Paldean Fates, Prismatic Evolutions, Crown Zenith, Shining Fates) use their own tables; the rest use their era's baseline. EV is a long-run average and not investment advice. For special sets without a standard booster box, 'EV / box' refers to the ETB.

Data from pokemontcg.io · Prices from Cardmarket.