Is it worth opening Temporal Forces packs?

On average a pack returns €3.76, 84% of its MSRP (€4.49). As with almost every set, opening packs loses value versus buying singles — you pay for the thrill of the rip.

How is the expected value (EV) of a pack calculated?

We multiply each rarity's per-pack probability by the average EUR price (Cardmarket) of that rarity's cards in the set, then sum: EV = Σ P(rarity) × avg price(rarity). A price is only excluded when it looks like a data error (over 10× the rarity's median and 3× the next-highest price); legitimate chase cards count.

Are these pull rates official?

No. The Pokémon Company never publishes pull rates. We use community estimates from documented mass openings (TCGplayer Authentication Center, pull-rate aggregators) and cite every source with its date.

What is a Temporal Forces box worth on average?

With 36 packs, the expected contents are worth €135.32. Compare against the real sealed price before ripping.

Pack EV calculator

Temporal Forces — pack EV

On average, a Temporal Forces pack returns €3.76 (typical pack price ~€4.49).

EV per pack: €3.76
Pack price (MSRP): €4.49
Return on MSRP: 84%
EV per box (36 packs): €135.32

Per-rarity breakdown

Per-pack probability × average price (Cardmarket EUR) = EV share. Rows sum exactly to the headline.

Rarity	Per pack	Cards
Special Illustration Rare	≈ 1 in 32 packs	10	€48.19	€1.51 40%
Illustration Rare	≈ 1 in 13 packs	22	€13.94	€1.07 29%
Hyper Rare	≈ 1 in 54 packs	6	€11.16	€0.21 5%
Common	×5	71	€0.04	€0.18 5%
ACE SPEC Rare	≈ 1 in 21 packs	7	€3.72	€0.18 5%
Rare	≈ 1 in 1 packs	14	€0.19	€0.18 5%
Uncommon	×3.7	55	€0.05	€0.17 5%
Ultra Rare	≈ 1 in 15 packs	18	€2.50	€0.17 4%
Double Rare	≈ 1 in 7 packs	15	€0.70	€0.10 3%
Total per pack				€3.76

Top hits of the set

Methodology and sources

Formula: EV_pack = Σ (per-pack probability of each rarity × average EUR price of that rarity's cards in the set). The breakdown above lists exactly those terms.

Prices: latest Cardmarket EUR quote per card (218 of 218 cards priced). Within each rarity we use the plain mean of every card — chase cards included. A price is only dropped when it looks like a data error: more than 10× the rarity's median AND more than 3× the next-highest price. Bulk cards are NOT excluded — they are part of the real expectation.

Pull rates: community estimates (documented mass pack openings), never official — The Pokémon Company does not publish pull rates. Within a tier (e.g. Galarian Gallery) we assume uniform probability per card. Reverse holos are valued at the regular card's price. Rows marked * use the era baseline rate because nobody has measured that set.

EV is a long-run average: any single pack will usually return much less (the norm) or occasionally much more (the hit). This is not investment advice.

Community estimates, not official — The Pokémon Company never publishes pull rates. Baseline measured on SV base (8,000+ packs); per-set drift exists (2024 sets Twilight Masquerade→Surging Sparks had Special Illustration Rare closer to 1 in 85-90 packs). ACE SPEC slot applies only from Temporal Forces (sv5) onward; the resolver drops it automatically for sets without ACE SPEC cards. Reverse-holo cards are valued at the regular card's price (reverse variants are not priced separately in our data).

Pull-rate sources

PullRates — Scarlet & Violet pull rates (TCGplayer Authentication Center, 8,000+ packs) — retrieved July 11, 2026
PokéBeach — Prismatic Evolutions pull rates (context: SIR rate drifted between 1/32 and ~1/90 across 2024 SV sets) — retrieved July 11, 2026

Is it worth opening Temporal Forces packs?: On average a pack returns €3.76, 84% of its MSRP (€4.49). As with almost every set, opening packs loses value versus buying singles — you pay for the thrill of the rip.
How is the expected value (EV) of a pack calculated?: We multiply each rarity's per-pack probability by the average EUR price (Cardmarket) of that rarity's cards in the set, then sum: EV = Σ P(rarity) × avg price(rarity). A price is only excluded when it looks like a data error (over 10× the rarity's median and 3× the next-highest price); legitimate chase cards count.
Are these pull rates official?: No. The Pokémon Company never publishes pull rates. We use community estimates from documented mass openings (TCGplayer Authentication Center, pull-rate aggregators) and cite every source with its date.
What is a Temporal Forces box worth on average?: With 36 packs, the expected contents are worth €135.32. Compare against the real sealed price before ripping.

Data from pokemontcg.io · Prices from Cardmarket.